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IPMA>Climate>Drought Observatory

PDSI Index (Palmer Drought Severity Index)

PDSI Index - Current situation - August 2025

According to the PDSI index at the end of August, there was an increase in the area experiencing meteorological drought, with almost the entire territory in this situation. There was also an increase in intensity, with more regions in the moderate drought class, rising from 5% of the territory in July to 21% at the end of August, covering the north-west region, the central-south interior region and some locations in the interior of the Lower Alentejo.

The percentage distribution by PDSI index classes in mainland Portugal at the end of August is as follows:

  • 0.6% in the normal class
  • 78.5% in the mild drought class
  • 20.9% in the moderate drought class

Drought monitoring

  • Summary and about

Legend

PDSI Index (Palmer Drought Severity Index) was developed by Palmer (1965) and implemented and calibrated for mainland Portugal (Pires, 2003).

This index is based on the concept of the water balance taking into account data on the amount of precipitation, air temperature and available water capacity in the soil and allows the detection of periods of drought by classifying them in terms of intensity (weak, moderate, severe and extreme).

Table - Classification of the PDSI index for dry and rainy periods
Color legend PDSI Classes Description
greater than or equal to 4,0 Extreme rain Extreme rain
3,00 to 3,99 Severe rain Severe rain
2,00 to 2,99 Moderate rain Moderate rain
1,00 to 1,99 Weak rain Weak rain
-0,99 to 0,99 Normal Normal
-1,99 to -1,0 Weak drought Weak drought
-2,99 to -2,0 Moderate drought Moderate drought
-3,99 to -3,0 Severe drought Severe drought
less than or equal to -4,00 Extreme drought Extreme drought

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